{"id":111630,"date":"2026-06-02T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2026-06-01T21:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.capmad.com\/news\/%news-category%\/pourquoi-letat-revoit-sa-prevision-de-croissance-a-38-en-2026\/"},"modified":"2026-06-02T11:02:24","modified_gmt":"2026-06-02T08:02:24","slug":"pourquoi-letat-revoit-sa-prevision-de-croissance-a-38-en-2026","status":"publish","type":"news","link":"https:\/\/www.capmad.com\/fr\/news\/economie-fr\/pourquoi-letat-revoit-sa-prevision-de-croissance-a-38-en-2026\/","title":{"rendered":"Pourquoi l\u2019\u00c9tat revoit sa pr\u00e9vision de croissance \u00e0 3,8 % en 2026"},"content":{"rendered":"

L\u2019impact de plusieurs chocs \u00e9conomiques qui ont marqu\u00e9 le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e<\/b><\/h2>\n

L\u2019\u00e9conomie malgache fait face \u00e0 une r\u00e9alit\u00e9 plus difficile que pr\u00e9vu. Alors que le gouvernement tablait initialement sur une croissance de 4,8 % pour l\u2019ann\u00e9e 2026, cette pr\u00e9vision a \u00e9t\u00e9 revue \u00e0 la baisse \u00e0 3,8 % dans le cadre du Projet de Loi de Finances Rectificative (PLFR). Cette r\u00e9vision refl\u00e8te l\u2019impact de plusieurs chocs \u00e9conomiques et climatiques qui ont marqu\u00e9 le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e.<\/b><\/p>\n

Selon le minist\u00e8re de l\u2019\u00c9conomie et des Finances, les cyclones Fytia et Gezani ont fortement affect\u00e9 le secteur primaire, notamment l\u2019agriculture, en d\u00e9truisant des cultures et des infrastructures essentielles. Les d\u00e9g\u00e2ts caus\u00e9s au r\u00e9seau \u00e9lectrique de Toamasina ainsi qu\u2019au complexe minier d\u2019Ambatovy ont \u00e9galement frein\u00e9 l\u2019activit\u00e9 industrielle du pays.<\/p>\n

\u00c0 ces difficult\u00e9s s\u2019ajoute un contexte international tendu. La hausse des prix du p\u00e9trole li\u00e9e aux tensions g\u00e9opolitiques au Moyen-Orient a augment\u00e9 les co\u00fbts de production et de transport, tandis que la suspension prolong\u00e9e de certaines liaisons a\u00e9riennes internationales a ralenti la reprise du secteur touristique.<\/p>\n

Les secteurs les plus touch\u00e9s sont les industries extractives, l\u2019\u00e9nergie et le tourisme. En revanche, certaines activit\u00e9s continuent de montrer des signes encourageants. Le secteur du b\u00e2timent et des travaux publics (BTP) b\u00e9n\u00e9ficie des besoins de reconstruction et des grands projets d\u2019infrastructures. Les t\u00e9l\u00e9communications et l\u2019externalisation de services (BPO) affichent \u00e9galement une forte croissance, soutenue par la transformation num\u00e9rique du pays.<\/p>\n

Cette r\u00e9vision de la croissance ne signifie pas pour autant un arr\u00eat du d\u00e9veloppement \u00e9conomique. Elle rappelle surtout la vuln\u00e9rabilit\u00e9 de Madagascar face aux chocs climatiques et externes. Pour atteindre une croissance durable, le pays devra poursuivre ses investissements dans les infrastructures, l\u2019\u00e9nergie, l\u2019agriculture r\u00e9siliente et la diversification de son \u00e9conomie afin de r\u00e9duire sa d\u00e9pendance \u00e0 quelques secteurs cl\u00e9s.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

L\u2019impact de plusieurs chocs \u00e9conomiques qui ont marqu\u00e9 le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e L\u2019\u00e9conomie malgache fait face \u00e0 une r\u00e9alit\u00e9 plus difficile que pr\u00e9vu. Alors que le\u2026<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":76,"featured_media":111632,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_acf_changed":false,"footnotes":""},"tags":[],"news-category":[7989],"news-location":[7990],"class_list":["post-111630","news","type-news","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","news-category-economie-fr","news-location-madagascar-fr"],"acf":[],"yoast_head":"\nPourquoi l\u2019\u00c9tat revoit sa pr\u00e9vision de croissance \u00e0 3,8 % en 2026<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Pourquoi l\u2019\u00c9tat revoit sa pr\u00e9vision de croissance \u00e0 3,8 % en 2026\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"L\u2019impact de plusieurs chocs \u00e9conomiques qui ont marqu\u00e9 le d\u00e9but de l\u2019ann\u00e9e L\u2019\u00e9conomie malgache fait face \u00e0 une r\u00e9alit\u00e9 plus difficile que pr\u00e9vu. 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